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Sorry: No End in Sight to Housing Downturn
The pundits are all saying that the housing “bottom” is upon us.
They base it on the uptick in sales that are occuring in less than a handful of states- including California, Arizona and Nevada.
In some places in those states, foreclosures have driven prices down below 1989 levels.
Houses in the Phoenix area that once sold for $300,000 are now listed for $50,000 and $70,000 by the bank.
How could there NOT be an uptick in sales?
The problem is- not many sales are occuring of “organic” properties (i.e. those not owned by the bank.)
Houses owned by normal sellers can’t compete with bank prices so those homes sit on the market. Yet, the bank prices are now setting the comps and essentially ARE the market in those areas.
In many other parts of the country where foreclosures, while plentiful, aren’t yet pushing down prices by huge percentages- can we say we’re at the “bottom”?
Chicago Prices …
Keep ReadingWith Retirement Portfolios Decimated by the Bear Market, the Boomers Won’t Leave the Stage
A funny thing is happening to the American economy.
Remember all those stories with the dire predictions of labor shortages as the oldest of the baby boomers retire and Generation X, at half the size, not being able to fill all the job openings?
Surprise!
The Baby Boomers aren’t retiring after all.
And those that already have, are re-entering the workforce after the market collapse shredded their portfolios and the housing bust decimated the value of, probably, their largest asset.
In some cases, 60-year olds are competing against their 25-year old children for the same jobs. And, sorry to say, with the changes in technology, if you’ve been out of the workforce even 5 years (let alone 25), you’ll be at an extreme disadvantage.
From the New York Times:
It has been a humbling time. Mrs. Diamond, who has a master’s degree in library science and was chairwoman of the library committee at her sons’ …
Keep ReadingWill the City of Detroit Become Atlantis?
Just because a city existed at one time in history doesn’t mean it always will.
Just ask historians of Pompei, which has been wiped out in several volcanic eruptions, or climb the Aztec or Mayan pyramids and wonder, “what happened to those civilizations?”
Will future historians one day be asking, “what happened in this place called Detroit?”
Many Detroit-area bloggers, and some journalists, are now addressing the question of nature “reclaiming” the city land.
From the Detroit News:
Detroit was once home to nearly 2 million people but has shrunk to a population of perhaps less than 900,000. It is estimated that a city the size of San Francisco could fit neatly within its empty lots. As nature abhors a vacuum, wildlife has moved in.
A beaver was spotted recently in the Detroit River. Wild fox skulk the 15th hole at the Palmer Park golf course. There is bald eagle, hawk and …
Keep ReadingCan the Creative Class and Artists “Save” Detroit?
There’s a reason a big metropolis, named Detroit, sprung up on the eastern side of Michigan.
It was a good location near water and other resources.
And it created millions of jobs during its heyday.
Everyone is calling Detroit “dead.”
Without a doubt, the problems of the automakers are having a profound effect on the entire Detroit-metro region, which has been in decline for decades.
Let’s face it, if you graduate from college, you aren’t exactly thinking, “I can’t wait to move to Detroit and start my new life.”
And that’s key to the success of a city. According to Richard Florida, the author of the book Rise of the Creative Class, among others, the success in luring the creative class can mean life or death for a city.
Detroit has to figure out a way to move beyond automobiles.
From the Lawrence Ulrich in the New York Times in January 2009:
In 1927, The New …
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